It’s that time of year again, where you start contemplating on the year that has gone by and the new year that is about to start. As a tradition on my blog, I will make my technology predictions for the next year. As it happens, I forgot to do predictions for last year, but I want to review my predictions for 2010 and see how they was realized, or if my predictions was a total miss.
Since last time I did these predictions, I have moved away from Oslo, the capital of Norway, to a small place called Vennesla. Vennesla is just outside of Kristiansand, in the southern parts of Norway. Here I work for a consulting company called Deepmind, where I work as a senior solutions architect.
“A lot of movie and game predictions for The Tens evolve around misery of all forms: World Wars, famine, terror, death and global disasters from natural disasters, the creation of intelligent machines and whatnot. I predict that very little of the movies and games mentioned above will come true”
Already in the introduction, I was very wrong. There are wars all over the world, and I live in a country that is part of the crimes against humanity. We sent fighter planes and bombed Libya. We have lots of military forces in Afghanistan. While these efforts will come to an end, the people of these areas will never receive an apology from our governments. They will be left to their own, after we have helped destroy their countries. I hope for better times for these people, but when they lack even the most basic human needs, it is going to take a long while before they can reap any benefits from technological developments.
We still have famine in some parts of the world. It’s incredible and unbelievable that this is still happening. It’s something we could have gotten rid of easily, with minimal efforts. Yet, it’s not going to happen. Politicians and world leaders are responsible for holding the poorest down in the mud and keeping them there. There won’t be any real peace in the world, unless people are free from their leaders, including “democratic” countries in the west.
When disasters happens somewhere today, it is on the local news within hours. While the news media reports on more global disasters than ever before, it doesn’t mean that more bad things are happening. We get fed up with the media from time to time, they are a huge source for negative input and can be exhausting for any adult individual, let alone how our kids are bombarded with negative news from around the world. Is there not a great marked for positive and good news?
“My main major prediction for The Tens is that it will represents a dramatic shift towards subscription based models for everything.”
With the launch of Spotify in the USA and Amazon in talks with book publishers on e-book subscriptions, I can safely say that this is the future. Still, many publishers, authors and artists have started to air their negative feelings around these services and withdrawn their products. It would had been very interesting to see how much artists such as Lacuna Coil have earned or lost from going away from Spotify in the last year. Will our kids even know about great bands such as AC/DC and Metallica, when their albums are unavailable on popular services such as Spotify? Do they really think that parents will go out and buy CDs for their kids, when they already pay a monthly subscription to millions of other songs?
“Television sets will include support for streaming videos over the Internet.”
Most new flat-screen TVs comes packaged with features, streaming over the network and Internet is just basic functionality today. YouTube is a must for any TV or TV-connected device, such as AppleTV and Blu-ray players.
Since this was for 2010, the iPad had not yet been announced…
“Apple will release an incredible, amazing, awesome tablet computing device. Google will continue to develop Google Wave and their OS will be largely ignored by the market”
Other predictions I made has more or less come true. Not exactly rocket science to predict what I did, so for next year I will make a quick list of my most important predictions.
My Top List of 2012 Technology Predictions
- Quad-HD TVs will start to be available for consumers.
- NASA will find further proof of water (and previous life) on Mars, with the event of Curiosity rover landing in August 2012.
- Large Hadron Collider will make the Higgs boson particle no longer a hypothetical particle.
- Microsoft releases Windows 8 and Windows Phone 8.
- The biggest websites will all be HTML 5 based.
- Apps (and games) built on HTML 5 will see exponential growth.
- Millions more will play Massive Online Multiplayer Games.
- Commercialization of space will take a giant leap forward.
- Prototypes of robots that will “eat” our garbage to improve recycling of important metal and other materials.
- New and improved humanoid robots will mimic human behavior – still years away from commercial use.
- Global disasters due to weather changes.
- Iran will be attacked.
- Next generation of (Xbox) Kinect is announced.
- I hope the first free-state is founded (Seasteading, Free State Initiative), but I doubt it.
- More electric cars will see the day, resulting in loss of income to big oil and big government.
- New buildings will become more and more self contained, producing it’s own power and potentially reusing/recycle some materials, such as water.
- Many big and important online services will be hacked and have their customer details leaked.
(Photo by Marc Dalio)